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Premier League · updated Mon Nov 9

Premier League picks this week, every one graded

Quick answerAs of Mon Nov 9, 4 open Premier League picks; our Top pick is Ipswich Town to win (result (90 min), Ipswich Town at Tottenham Hotspur). Record so far: 0-3 (0% of decided picks won) over 3 graded picks, beating the closing line on 0% of them. Game calls this season: winner right 0%, spread 100%, over/under 0%.

Open picks

Top pick

Ipswich Town to win +450

Result (90 min) · Ipswich Town at Tottenham Hotspur

Sat Nov 21 · 7:00 AM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ⚠ 2nd Opinion Long shot

Top pick: 2nd choice

Manchester United to win +330

Result (90 min) · Manchester United at Liverpool

Sun Nov 22 · 8:30 AM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ⚠ 2nd Opinion Long shot

Newcastle United to win +425

Result (90 min) · Arsenal at Newcastle United

Sat Nov 21 · 9:30 AM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ⚠ 2nd Opinion Long shot

Hull City to win +475

Result (90 min) · Brighton & Hove Albion at Hull City

Sun Nov 22 · 6:00 AM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ⚠ 2nd Opinion Long shot

Open the live Premier League cardFull track record

How these picks have done

Picks logged
7
4 still open
Record
0-3
3 graded (W-L)
Won
0%
of decided picks
Beat the close
0%
of 2 picks checked
Units
-3.0
1 unit a pick at the logged price

Latest results

ResultPickFinalClosing lineLine value
LOSTCrystal Palace to win +425
Result (90 min) · Liverpool at Crystal Palace
3-1+475-1.6%
LOSTCrystal Palace +0.5 +135
Spread +0.5 · Liverpool at Crystal Palace
3-1+1.5 (-185)
LOSTChelsea to win +115
Result (90 min) · Chelsea at Sunderland
0-1+125-1.9%

Line value compares the number we logged with the closing line, the last number before the game. Beating it over many picks is the more honest sign of skill; a win-loss record over a few dozen picks is mostly luck.

Game calls

Every game gets three calls (winner, spread, over/under), even games with no pick. They are graded on the final score; they are not bets.

MatchweekWinnerSpreadOver/under
Matchweek 100 of 1 (0%)1 of 1 (100%)0 of 1 (0%)

Yardsticks: favorites won 0% of these games, so picking every favorite would have called the winner that often; spreads and totals need about 52.4% to break even at usual prices.

Questions

How are the Premier League picks made?

A computer program compares its own numbers for each match with the DraftKings line, using rules that were written down and dated before they made a single pick. A pick is logged only when the gap is big enough; Strong means a bigger gap than Neutral. Each card names one Top pick and a 2nd choice by a fixed rule.

How have the Premier League picks done so far?

0-3 over 3 graded picks (0% of decided picks won), and 0% beat the closing line. Every pick stays on the record, losses included.

Should I bet on these picks?

This site is research and entertainment for adults 21 and older, not advice. Most bets lose money, no method here has a proven edge over the betting market, and sports betting is not legal everywhere. If you bet, only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET (national helpline) or 1-800-GAMBLER (California).

Where do the lines come from?

The DraftKings lines as ESPN shows them on its public pages, saved by our own recorder every 15 minutes. Lines move, so always check the current price.