Under 6.5 -125
Total · Islanders at Sharks
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it
NHL · updated Mon Nov 9
NHL picks this week, every one graded
Quick answerAs of Mon Nov 9, 16 open NHL picks; our Top pick is Under 6.5 (total, Islanders at Sharks). Record so far: 6-14 (30% of decided picks won) over 20 graded picks, beating the closing line on 20% of them. Game calls this season: winner right 67%, spread 33%, over/under 50%.
Open picks
Under 6.5 -122
Total · Flyers at Canucks
Mon Nov 9 · 6:30 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it
Oilers to win -155
Moneyline · Rangers at Oilers
Mon Nov 9 · 5:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ⛔ RED FLAG
Oilers -1.5 +164
Puck line · Rangers at Oilers
Mon Nov 9 · 5:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ⛔ RED FLAG
Sharks to win +114
Moneyline · Islanders at Sharks
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it
Sharks +1.5 -230
Puck line · Islanders at Sharks
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it
Under 6.5 -130
Total · Devils at Jets
Tue Nov 10 · 4:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ⛔ RED FLAG
Over 6.5 -115
Total · Avalanche at Maple Leafs
Tue Nov 10 · 4:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it
Jets +1.5 -205
Puck line · Devils at Jets
Tue Nov 10 · 4:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ⛔ RED FLAG
Canadiens +1.5 -238
Puck line · Wild at Canadiens
Tue Nov 10 · 4:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Another model disagrees
Avalanche to win -162
Moneyline · Avalanche at Maple Leafs
Tue Nov 10 · 4:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it
Avalanche -1.5 +140
Puck line · Avalanche at Maple Leafs
Tue Nov 10 · 4:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it
Panthers +1.5 -245
Puck line · Panthers at Blue Jackets
Tue Nov 10 · 4:30 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it
Under 5.5 +105
Total · Red Wings at Blues
Tue Nov 10 · 5:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it
Predators to win +120
Moneyline · Predators at Kings
Tue Nov 10 · 7:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Another model disagrees
Predators +1.5 -205
Puck line · Predators at Kings
Tue Nov 10 · 7:00 PM PT
Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Another model disagrees
Open the live NHL cardFull track record
How these picks have done
Picks logged
36
16 still open
Record
6-14
20 graded (W-L)
Won
30%
of decided picks
Beat the close
20%
of 20 picks checked
Units
-9.9
1 unit a pick at the logged price
Latest results
| Result | Pick | Final | Closing line | Line value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOST | Under 6.5 +130 Total · Penguins at Ducks | 2-5 | 6.5 (+136) | -1.0% |
| LOST | Under 5.5 +102 Total · Flyers at Flames | 3-4 | 5.5 (-102) | +0.9% |
| LOST | Over 6.5 +105 Total · Devils at Maple Leafs | 4-0 | 6.5 (-105) | +2.2% |
| LOST | Maple Leafs to win +120 Moneyline · Devils at Maple Leafs | 4-0 | +136 | -3.0% |
| LOST | Maple Leafs +1.5 -205 Puck line · Devils at Maple Leafs | 4-0 | +1.5 (-180) | -2.8% |
| WON | Flames +1.5 -270 Puck line · Flyers at Flames | 3-4 | +1.5 (-258) | -0.9% |
| LOST | Under 6.5 -120 Total · Lightning at Jets | 3-4 | 6.5 (-120) | +0.0% |
| LOST | Lightning to win -142 Moneyline · Lightning at Jets | 3-4 | -162 | +3.0% |
| WON | Under 6.5 -115 Total · Golden Knights at Sabres | 4-1 | 6.5 (-115) | +0.0% |
| LOST | Sabres to win -108 Moneyline · Golden Knights at Sabres | 4-1 | +102 | -2.2% |
| LOST | Sabres +1.5 -285 Puck line · Golden Knights at Sabres | 4-1 | +1.5 (-245) | -2.9% |
| LOST | Under 6.5 -118 Total · Penguins at Kings | 5-2 | 6.5 (-115) | -0.7% |
Line value compares the number we logged with the closing line, the last number before the game. Beating it over many picks is the more honest sign of skill; a win-loss record over a few dozen picks is mostly luck.
Game calls
Every game gets three calls (winner, spread, over/under), even games with no pick. They are graded on the final score; they are not bets.
| Week | Winner | Spread | Over/under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2-8 | 4 of 6 (67%) | 2 of 6 (33%) | 3 of 6 (50%) |
Yardsticks: favorites won 67% of these games, so picking every favorite would have called the winner that often; spreads and totals need about 52.4% to break even at usual prices.
Questions
How are the NHL picks made?
A computer program compares its own numbers for each game with the DraftKings line, using rules that were written down and dated before they made a single pick. A pick is logged only when the gap is big enough; Strong means a bigger gap than Neutral. Each card names one Top pick and a 2nd choice by a fixed rule.
How have the NHL picks done so far?
6-14 over 20 graded picks (30% of decided picks won), and 20% beat the closing line. Every pick stays on the record, losses included.
Should I bet on these picks?
This site is research and entertainment for adults 21 and older, not advice. Most bets lose money, no method here has a proven edge over the betting market, and sports betting is not legal everywhere. If you bet, only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET (national helpline) or 1-800-GAMBLER (California).
Where do the lines come from?
The DraftKings lines as ESPN shows them on its public pages, saved by our own recorder every 15 minutes. Lines move, so always check the current price.