College Football · updated Mon Nov 9
College Football picks this week, every one graded
Quick answerAs of Mon Nov 9, 0 open college football picks. Record so far: 2-12-1 (14% of decided picks won) over 15 graded picks, beating the closing line on 7% of them. Game calls this season: winner right 71%, spread 29%, over/under 29%.
Open picks
No open college football picks right now. The next card is made before the next week; this page updates itself.
Open the live College Football cardFull track record
How these picks have done
Latest results
| Result | Pick | Final | Closing line | Line value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOST | Under 66.5 -110 Total · West Virginia at Texas Tech | 48-53 | 68.5 (-110) | -2.0 pts |
| LOST | Texas Tech -16.5 -108 Spread · West Virginia at Texas Tech | 48-53 | -16.5 (-108) | +0.0 pts |
| LOST | Over 45.5 -112 Total · Oklahoma at Florida | 23-7 | 46.5 (-108) | +1.0 pts |
| LOST | Over 56.5 -110 Total · Georgia at Ole Miss | 42-7 | 56.5 (-115) | +0.0 pts |
| WON | Over 54.5 -110 Total · Miami at Notre Dame | 24-31 | 54.5 (-110) | +0.0 pts |
| LOST | Over 42.5 -110 Total · Iowa at Northwestern | 24-10 | 42.5 (-110) | +0.0 pts |
| LOST | Ole Miss to win +145 Moneyline · Georgia at Ole Miss | 42-7 | +145 | -4.3% |
| LOST | Ole Miss +3.5 -108 Spread · Georgia at Ole Miss | 42-7 | +3.5 (-112) | +0.0 pts |
| LOST | Northwestern to win +130 Moneyline · Iowa at Northwestern | 24-10 | +136 | -6.5% |
| LOST | Northwestern +3 -110 Spread · Iowa at Northwestern | 24-10 | +3 (-105) | +0.0 pts |
| LOST | Miami to win +225 Moneyline · Miami at Notre Dame | 24-31 | +235 | -6.9% |
| PUSH | Miami +7 -102 Spread · Miami at Notre Dame | 24-31 | +7.5 (-118) | -0.5 pts |
Line value compares the number we logged with the closing line, the last number before the game. Beating it over many picks is the more honest sign of skill; a win-loss record over a few dozen picks is mostly luck.
Game calls
Every game gets three calls (winner, spread, over/under), even games with no pick. They are graded on the final score; they are not bets.
| Week | Winner | Spread | Over/under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 | 5 of 7 (71%) | 2 of 7 (29%) | 2 of 7 (29%) |
Yardsticks: favorites won 86% of these games, so picking every favorite would have called the winner that often; spreads and totals need about 52.4% to break even at usual prices.
Questions
How are the college football picks made?
A computer program compares its own numbers for each game with the DraftKings line, using rules that were written down and dated before they made a single pick. A pick is logged only when the gap is big enough; Strong means a bigger gap than Neutral. Each card names one Top pick and a 2nd choice by a fixed rule.
How have the college football picks done so far?
2-12-1 over 15 graded picks (14% of decided picks won), and 7% beat the closing line. Every pick stays on the record, losses included.
Should I bet on these picks?
This site is research and entertainment for adults 21 and older, not advice. Most bets lose money, no method here has a proven edge over the betting market, and sports betting is not legal everywhere. If you bet, only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET (national helpline) or 1-800-GAMBLER (California).
Where do the lines come from?
The DraftKings lines as ESPN shows them on its public pages, saved by our own recorder every 15 minutes. Lines move, so always check the current price.