Dawson Knox under 7.5 receiving yds
Receiving yards · Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Mon Nov 9 · 5:15 PM PT
Edge Strong
Player Props · updated Mon Nov 9
Player Props picks this week, every one graded
Quick answerAs of Mon Nov 9, 10 open NFL player props picks. Record so far: 3-3 (50% of decided picks won) over 6 graded picks, beating the closing line on 12% of them.
Open picks
Ty Johnson over 16.5 receiving yds
Receiving yards · Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Mon Nov 9 · 5:15 PM PT
Edge Neutral
T.J. Hockenson under 4.5 receptions
Receptions · Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Mon Nov 9 · 5:15 PM PT
Edge Strong
Khalil Shakir under 4.5 receptions
Receptions · Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Mon Nov 9 · 5:15 PM PT
Edge Neutral
Justin Jefferson under 6.5 receptions
Receptions · Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Mon Nov 9 · 5:15 PM PT
Edge Strong
Josh Allen over 238.5 passing yds
Passing yards · Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Mon Nov 9 · 5:15 PM PT
Edge Neutral
Jordan Addison under 3.5 receptions
Receptions · Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Mon Nov 9 · 5:15 PM PT
Edge Neutral
Dalton Kincaid over 36.5 receiving yds
Receiving yards · Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Mon Nov 9 · 5:15 PM PT
Edge Neutral
DJ Moore over 3.5 receptions
Receptions · Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Mon Nov 9 · 5:15 PM PT
Edge Neutral
Aaron Jones Sr. over 32.5 rushing yds
Rushing yards · Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Mon Nov 9 · 5:15 PM PT
Edge Neutral
Open the live Player Props cardFull track record
How these picks have done
Picks logged
18
10 still open
Record
3-3
6 graded (W-L)
Won
50%
of decided picks
Beat the close
12%
of 8 picks checked
Latest results
| Result | Pick | Final | Closing line | Line value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOST | Ted Hurst III over 22.5 receiving yds Receiving yards · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears | 24-27 | 22.5 | +0.0 |
| void | Roschon Johnson over 3.5 receiving yds Receiving yards · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears | 24-27 | 2.5 | -1.0 |
| void | Luther Burden III over 1.5 rushing yds Rushing yards · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears | 24-27 | 2.5 | +1.0 |
| WON | Kalif Raymond over 1.5 receptions Receptions · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears | 24-27 | 1.5 | +0.0 |
| WON | Emeka Egbuka under 49.5 receiving yds Receiving yards · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears | 24-27 | 49.5 | +0.0 |
| WON | Caleb Williams over 245.5 passing yds Passing yards · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears | 24-27 | 244.5 | -1.0 |
| LOST | Cade Otton under 3.5 receptions Receptions · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears | 24-27 | 3.5 | +0.0 |
| LOST | Bucky Irving under 14.5 receiving yds Receiving yards · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears | 24-27 | 14.5 | +0.0 |
Line value compares the number we logged with the closing line, the last number before the game. Beating it over many picks is the more honest sign of skill; a win-loss record over a few dozen picks is mostly luck.
Questions
How are the NFL player props picks made?
A computer program compares its own numbers for each game with the DraftKings line, using rules that were written down and dated before they made a single pick. A pick is logged only when the gap is big enough; Strong means a bigger gap than Neutral. Each card names one Top pick and a 2nd choice by a fixed rule.
How have the NFL player props picks done so far?
3-3 over 6 graded picks (50% of decided picks won), and 12% beat the closing line. Every pick stays on the record, losses included.
Should I bet on these picks?
This site is research and entertainment for adults 21 and older, not advice. Most bets lose money, no method here has a proven edge over the betting market, and sports betting is not legal everywhere. If you bet, only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET (national helpline) or 1-800-GAMBLER (California).
Where do the lines come from?
The DraftKings lines as ESPN shows them on its public pages, saved by our own recorder every 15 minutes. Lines move, so always check the current price.