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Updated Mon Nov 9

This week's betting picks, every one graded

Quick answerAs of Mon Nov 9, Gameday Picks has 54 open picks across 7 sports, with 10 Top picks and 2nd choices. Every pick since we started is graded in public: 35-56-1 so far (38% of decided picks won), beating the closing line on 23%. No method here has a proven edge yet, and the record shows it.

This week's Top picks

Top pick: 2nd choice

Dawson Knox under 7.5 receiving yds

Player Props · Receiving yards · Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings

Mon Nov 9 · 5:15 PM PT

Edge Strong

Top pick

Spurs to win -243

NBA · Moneyline · Spurs at Suns

Mon Nov 9 · 6:00 PM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ⛔ RED FLAG Another model disagrees

Top pick

76ers +1.5 -119

NBA · Spread · Celtics at 76ers

Tue Nov 10 · 5:00 PM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it

Top pick: 2nd choice

Over 222.5 -110

NBA · Total · Nuggets at Rockets

Mon Nov 9 · 5:30 PM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ⛔ RED FLAG Line moved against us

Top pick

Under 6.5 -125

NHL · Total · Islanders at Sharks

Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it

Top pick: 2nd choice

Under 6.5 -122

NHL · Total · Flyers at Canucks

Mon Nov 9 · 6:30 PM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it

Top pick

Kentucky +5.5 -110

College Basketball · Spread · Kansas at Kentucky

Tue Nov 10 · 6:30 PM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Another model disagrees

Top pick: 2nd choice

Duke to win -278

College Basketball · Moneyline · Michigan State at Duke

Tue Nov 10 · 4:00 PM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ✓ Clear Nothing found against it

Top pick

Ipswich Town to win +450

Premier League · Result (90 min) · Ipswich Town at Tottenham Hotspur

Sat Nov 21 · 7:00 AM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ⚠ 2nd Opinion Long shot

Top pick: 2nd choice

Manchester United to win +330

Premier League · Result (90 min) · Manchester United at Liverpool

Sun Nov 22 · 8:30 AM PT

Edge Neutral · Risk check ⚠ 2nd Opinion Long shot

Open the live siteFull track record

Picks by sport

SportOpenRecordWonBeat the close
NFL213-959%27%
Player Props103-350%12%
College Football02-12-114%7%
NBA189-1145%35%
NHL166-1430%20%
College Basketball42-433%33%
Premier League40-30%0%

Questions

What is Gameday Picks?

A free, independent research site for adults 21 and older. It logs betting picks for the NFL, college football, NBA, NHL, college basketball and the Premier League before each game, then grades every one against the final score and the closing line. It is not a sportsbook and sells nothing.

Do the picks win?

So far 35-56-1 over 92 graded picks (38% of decided picks won). No method on this site has passed its locked test yet, so treat them as research.

What does beating the closing line mean?

The closing line is the last line before the game starts, when the market knows the most. A pick logged at a better number than the close is the most common sign of real skill over time, more than a short win-loss run.